Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.537779 0.629517 0.730345 0.849137 0.985002 1.135274 1.313789
2025-01-12 0.392145 0.514808 0.663579 0.856132 1.097458 1.388504 1.764531
2025-01-19 0.297676 0.435101 0.617670 0.874993 1.224808 1.679749 2.311354
2025-01-26 0.229328 0.370837 0.575440 0.887145 1.342903 1.976347 2.912411
2025-02-02 0.194901 0.345014 0.578947 0.960317 1.553849 2.426388 3.784646
2025-02-09 0.157863 0.305164 0.551880 0.980767 1.688338 2.783765 4.571867
2025-02-16 0.124477 0.262307 0.509876 0.967492 1.765134 3.060974 5.270821
2025-02-23 0.094339 0.216882 0.452898 0.916332 1.768437 3.218336 5.795975
2025-03-02 0.076791 0.191151 0.425739 0.911872 1.848782 3.508612 6.567513
2025-03-09 0.060546 0.163423 0.388299 0.879984 1.872509 3.701376 7.191026
2025-03-16 0.045853 0.134674 0.341977 0.820706 1.833239 3.773629 7.605734
2025-03-23 0.038920 0.122856 0.329912 0.830396 1.930547 4.107688 8.529397
2025-03-30 0.032614 0.111233 0.316917 0.838509 2.031992 4.473487 9.576508
2025-04-06 0.027715 0.102030 0.307947 0.854904 2.155415 4.900978 10.797093
2025-04-13 0.023922 0.094866 0.302629 0.879420 2.301526 5.393759 12.204101
2025-04-20 0.020407 0.087280 0.294332 0.894993 2.429913 5.865377 13.619963
2025-04-27 0.019221 0.087382 0.308032 0.970857 2.712980 6.701343 15.877693
2025-05-04 0.016666 0.081418 0.302209 0.992765 2.867396 7.271272 17.626086
2025-05-11 0.013739 0.072664 0.285316 0.980069 2.932601 7.647267 18.990928
2025-05-18 0.010637 0.061555 0.257356 0.928713 2.888628 7.764956 19.793853
2025-05-25 0.008909 0.055718 0.245743 0.924433 2.969869 8.187288 21.325904
2025-06-01 0.007106 0.048468 0.226707 0.892282 2.968519 8.408194 22.412230
2025-06-08 0.005351 0.040272 0.201162 0.832330 2.877149 8.393180 22.937844